n this clip, former Israeli Ambassador Michael Oren discusses U.S. military pressure on Iran, Israel’s recent military gains, and whether current diplomacy can lock in a lasting new order in the Middle East.
Key points
Oren explains that a single U.S. aircraft carrier with about 90 warplanes and accompanying destroyers is still limited against a country the size of Iran (around 90 million people, larger than France and Germany combined), which is why a second carrier significantly increases the threat.
He suggests Iran may believe it successfully withstood U.S. power and Israel for 12 days in the previous crisis and might feel able to endure further attacks, yet it is unwilling to give up nuclear, missile, and terror-support programs, which he describes as essential to the regime’s identity.
Oren says Israel, despite controversies from more than two years of war, has achieved major military accomplishments, potentially opened paths to peace with Lebanon and Syria, and contributed to a “much reduced” Iran.
He stresses that the coming weeks of negotiations and the risk of renewed military action will determine whether the Middle East truly changes and whether President Trump’s claim to have brought peace to the region becomes permanent.
n this clip, former Israeli Ambassador Michael Oren discusses U.S. military pressure on Iran, Israel’s recent military gains, and whether current diplomacy can lock in a lasting new order in the Middle East.
Key points
Oren explains that a single U.S. aircraft carrier with about 90 warplanes and accompanying destroyers is still limited against a country the size of Iran (around 90 million people, larger than France and Germany combined), which is why a second carrier significantly increases the threat.
He suggests Iran may believe it successfully withstood U.S. power and Israel for 12 days in the previous crisis and might feel able to endure further attacks, yet it is unwilling to give up nuclear, missile, and terror-support programs, which he describes as essential to the regime’s identity.
Oren says Israel, despite controversies from more than two years of war, has achieved major military accomplishments, potentially opened paths to peace with Lebanon and Syria, and contributed to a “much reduced” Iran.
He stresses that the coming weeks of negotiations and the risk of renewed military action will determine whether the Middle East truly changes and whether President Trump’s claim to have brought peace to the region becomes permanent.
